Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.000135 0.000149 0.000165 0.000182 0.000201 0.000223 0.000247
2025-06-15 0.000109 0.000130 0.000154 0.000183 0.000219 0.000262 0.000318
2025-06-22 0.000095 0.000118 0.000148 0.000187 0.000238 0.000302 0.000392
2025-06-29 0.000082 0.000106 0.000138 0.000183 0.000244 0.000327 0.000448
2025-07-06 0.000070 0.000095 0.000127 0.000175 0.000243 0.000340 0.000489
2025-07-13 0.000064 0.000089 0.000124 0.000176 0.000254 0.000369 0.000555
2025-07-20 0.000060 0.000085 0.000121 0.000178 0.000266 0.000402 0.000633
2025-07-27 0.000055 0.000080 0.000117 0.000177 0.000273 0.000426 0.000697
2025-08-03 0.000052 0.000077 0.000116 0.000179 0.000285 0.000461 0.000784
2025-08-10 0.000048 0.000073 0.000111 0.000177 0.000289 0.000481 0.000849
2025-08-17 0.000044 0.000069 0.000108 0.000175 0.000295 0.000504 0.000921
2025-08-24 0.000041 0.000065 0.000104 0.000172 0.000296 0.000521 0.000983
2025-08-31 0.000037 0.000060 0.000098 0.000166 0.000293 0.000529 0.001032
2025-09-07 0.000036 0.000058 0.000096 0.000168 0.000304 0.000568 0.001152
2025-09-14 0.000034 0.000057 0.000096 0.000171 0.000319 0.000615 0.001297
2025-09-21 0.000032 0.000054 0.000092 0.000168 0.000320 0.000634 0.001383
2025-09-28 0.000029 0.000050 0.000087 0.000161 0.000313 0.000635 0.001427
2025-10-05 0.000027 0.000048 0.000085 0.000161 0.000322 0.000671 0.001563
2025-10-12 0.000026 0.000047 0.000085 0.000163 0.000335 0.000718 0.001734
2025-10-19 0.000025 0.000045 0.000082 0.000162 0.000339 0.000747 0.001864
2025-10-26 0.000024 0.000044 0.000082 0.000165 0.000352 0.000797 0.002061
2025-11-02 0.000023 0.000042 0.000080 0.000162 0.000355 0.000822 0.002192
2025-11-09 0.000022 0.000041 0.000078 0.000161 0.000359 0.000851 0.002342